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During the worst years of the Kashmir insurgency, interrogation centres near Srinagar were notorious for torture. Some suspects had their legs crushed with heavy rollers. Others had toes or fingers cut off. But sexual torture was the speciality of Indian security forces. Many of those who returned alive from interrogation were broken men, rendered sterile and impotent by genital electrocution.

So far, the Indian state has not mobilised massive resources to -battle the Maoist threat, leaving the task to relatively disorganised and inefficient state authorities. But if it does so, it may not be able to apply the draconian but effective methods used in Kashmir, Punjab and the Seven Sisters. The Maoist area of operations is simply too large and spread out.

Furthermore, all it would take for the Maoists to inflict serious damage to India’s economy and self image would be for them to engage in urban as well as rural terrorism. It worked for the Nepali Maoists. According to the Institute for Conflict Management, a think tank in New Delhi, the Naxalites are indeed preparing to take the struggle into the cities. It would not be hard for them to hide among the millions of migrants crammed into the slums. Moreover, extraordinary opportunities for urban terrorism and assassination are offered by the fact that Indian society is one in which even middle-class people can afford to employ domestic servants. Already there is growing anxiety among wealthy urban Indians about robberies and murders by servants, many of whom are migrants from the same rural areas falling under Maoist influence. In Nepal, Maoist recruits were given training by army deserters and Gurkha veterans; India’s urban centres include a much bigger potential fifth column for the Naxalites.

Of course, it would be a mistake to underestimate the strength of the Indian state or the resilience of a society with many more democratic outlets and institutions than Nepal. India’s sheer size allows it to survive catastrophic natural and human events that would shatter other polities. But it would also be a mistake for international observers to ignore the potential for revolutionary activity in a society so profoundly divided. Indeed, the international media’s preoccupation with India’s very thin upper crust – the 150m or so who can now afford a mobile phone, a fridge or perhaps even a scooter, the 1m or so wealthy people who are middle class by Western standards, the 100,000 dollar millionaires, and the 1,000 or so who are extremely rich by any standards – has obscured the travails of the remaining 900m inhabitants, many of whom live lives untouched or even made worse by rapid economic change.

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Uncle B
September 3rd, 2008
9:09 PM
If mankind had a common enemy they would have a common goal! Even in India where hunger is prevalent, people find time and reason to do destructive things. Not evengod can help us from ourselves, sick sick animals that we are!

Anonymous
August 6th, 2008
5:08 PM
Given the new and more or lessomnipresent conventional wisdom--American hegemony is dead because the US economy is doomed to be left in the dust by China and India--this piece very usefully reminds us that China and India have staggering problems of their own,generally much worse ones than the Americans face. It is interesting to speculate about which alleged challenger has worse (and generally underreported) problems: China, with its relative absence of effective law, kleptocratic elites, ecological catastrophes, looming demographic crisis and probable legitimacy crisis, or India, with its multiple nationalities and languages, simmering rebellions and radical inequality. My sense is that other than the first problem, which is not one China shares to anything like the same degree, India has the edge, with more rule of law, at least some elite political accountability, and a working federal system. And who knows how much underreported disorder occurs in China? The anecdotal evidence can be startling...Maybe Standpoint could run recurring features on the underreported bad news from both India and China. This was a fine piece of reporting.

Nirpal
August 1st, 2008
3:08 AM
There has never been a moment in India's history where some crisis has not been rumbling: famine, secessionist, environmental or sectarian. India has weathered them all. And India's democracy is not a gloss. It has a higher voter turn-out than the US, with the poor more likely to vote than the middle-class. The Maoists are not fighting for the poor - they are happy to exterminate them. A country with such levels of poverty and illiteracy will always be vulnerable to ideologues and messianic politics. But this insurgency, like the others, will end as the rebels terrorize and alienate the very population they gain their support from, who will themselves be given a greater stake in the Indian polity. The Maoists offer the people nothing - only a primeval existence with a marxist narrative. Only the govt can provide development, which in time it will. India's problems, like everything in India are immense - but resolvable.

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