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The mega-bid for the Dutch bank ABN Amro followed: ¤71 billion (say, £60 billion), in cash, complete with the pleasure of trumping a rival offer from Barclays. The board duly nodded it through. At the time I thought that Barclays might make the Royal Bank pay too much, but this proved to be an understatement. Here was the NatWest deal with a different ending.

From across the Atlantic, the smell of burning grew stronger and spread. The flows of money began to dry up. Banks were failing. The Royal Bank's directors, who had believed that their bid could be easily financed, started looking for something to sell. Then they turned to the stock market and issued new shares to raise a belated £12 billion. Six months later they came over with their hands up. Who let it happen? They did.

A frantic few days brought the taxpayer in as investor of last resort, and everyone from the Queen sideways asked why such a disaster had not been seen coming. A free and frank exchange of blame followed. Was the Bank of England asleep at the wheel? Was the regulators' light touch altogether too delicate? Was it all Brown's fault?

On arriving as Chancellor, he took supervision away from the Bank and set up the Financial Services Authority in Canary Wharf. At the other end of the Docklands Light Railway, the central bank would look after financial stability, while the Treasury, farther away, would hold the ring. This "tripartite system", when tried out in war games, looked creaky. When tested in practice, at the moment of crisis, it offered no answer to the key question: who was in charge?

Different answers had been on offer a year earlier, at the Mansion House, when Brown told the City's merchants and bankers that a golden age was ahead of them. Mervyn King, the Bank of England's Governor, warned them of dangers ahead: not all that glistered was gold, not all that was labelled "champagne" was the genuine article. The bid for ABN Amro was then in full swing, and those who ignored his warnings soon complained that he ignored their cries for help.

He was blamed for his attention to moral hazard: the principle that a ready safety net encourages banks to run ill-advised risks. Alan Greenspan, his opposite number in Washington, had so reassured his own banks that they lent his name to an option: heads we win, tails he'll look after us. This gave them the courage to make spectacular efforts and, in due course, to come spectacular croppers. Their example was infectious.

When it was all over, the banks came to realise that they had made old mistakes in a new wrapping. They had lent to borrowers who didn't repay them. They had taken security which was not secure. They had assumed that cash would always be on tap. Moral: a proper sense of fear is good for bankers. Today's generation has learned that the hard way. Their successors will need to learn from Iain Martin what can happen when complacent directors hire sanguine managers.

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Paddy Briggs
November 11th, 2013
9:11 AM
The failure of RBS was like "Murder on the Orient Express" - multiple villains - Fred the Shred wasn't the only one. One of the villains (rarely mentioned) was David Cameron. His speech in 2005 (the one wot got him the job) accused Gordon Brown of being the "regulator in chief" - a popular and common line for the Conservative to take throughout the Blair/Brown years. It was dangerously wrong. Brown was "Light Touch" for three reasons: (1) The failure to regulate led to huge financial sector profitability which led to huge tax liabilities which funded huge increases in public expenditure. (2) By default because regulation was split three ways - The FSA, the Bank of England, the Treasury. This led not to "over-regulation" but to culpably failed regulation. (3) Political pragmatism. Brown could shrug off Cameron and the other Tory accusers because their "over-regulation" jibe at entry wasn't true. New Labour was the lightest-touch administration in post war history.

Rory Gallivan
November 2nd, 2013
2:11 PM
Gordon Brown is an Edinburgh graduate.

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