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But that would be to forget that, as the current crisis warps political sanity, we may be entering a phase where rationality could follow the global economy into recession.

For a sane view of the USA you have to look to Americans themselves, just as you look to them for the best science, the best orchestras, novelists, architects, art historians and (so I am told) classicists. The clearest statement of the facts about the US, its enemies and critics, is by Michael Mandelbaum, a foreign policy professor at Johns Hopkins University esteemed for the steely precision of his analyses.

Why is it, he asks in The Case for Goliath, that whereas states as strong as the US are historically subject to alliances to check them, no such anti-American alliance has formed or shows any sign of forming today? "The explanation for this gap is twofold. First, the charges most frequently levelled at America are false...second, far from menacing the rest of the world [the US] plays a uniquely positive global role. The governments of most other countries understand this, though they have powerful reasons not to say so explicitly."

There follows a highly contemporary message: that America's willingness to pursue the international activism we publicly deplore and privately welcome depends not so much on the rise of China but on the demands of Medicare and the social security budget. Three things about the US global involvement, he writes, may be safely predicted: that other countries "will not pay for it; they will continue to criticise it; and they will miss it when it is gone".

How keen are we in practice to dilute and redistribute US power? If it is to be a multipolar world, who, beyond Europe, would form these poles? India, Japan, Russia, China, the Middle East, South America, presumably. But you cannot line up countries or regions as candidates for a global oligarchy by virtue of their future power or influence.

How stable are the last four of these countries and regions, and how democratic, mature, honest or corrupted are their societies? If they are to form the underpinnings of a new international order, slipped into place deftly so as not to bring everything down as America withdraws, we need to know how much weight they can bear, as well as how they might bear down on us.

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philodoc
February 10th, 2012
3:02 PM
GW is a man whose comments I have always valued. However in this article I have to wonder if I must recast him as a Jekyll/Hyde character' and this in the same week that I have had to revise my once very positive feelings for Niall Fergusson (by virtue of his comments on Israel attacking Iran). What is going on? GW seems very ready to ignore USA's lamentable record in Central America and Indochins where millions have died as a result of US policy. How many tens of thousands have died in Iraq and how many middle east dictators have thrived thanks to America? This week we are bemoaning the Russian/Chinese veto in the UN over Syria. Substitute Israel for Syria and USA for Russia/China and look how many vetoes have taken place to protect zionist interests in the last 40 years. Internationally speaking USA is a rogue state. Domestically it is a "totalitarian democracy" where the citizens of this once to be admired country are emasculated by the hegemony of the business and military and religious power centres; add to that the narcotic effects of Hollywood, Television, national sport mania, and of course the drugs thenselves. The American people are becoming desperately poor (ie the 99%) but seem numbed into apathy; they cannot get round the taboo that it is a crime to criticise (in real terms and not the nauseating media proscribed terms) the parlous state of their nation. In the spectrum of opinion where at one end we have the sycophantically rose tinted views of an Alastaire Cooke, and at the other end the startlingly bleak outlook of a Noam Chomsky it seems tha GW is firmly in the AC category. God bless America!

D'oh
August 31st, 2009
2:08 AM
Anyone who thinks that America, or any other rational nation, should intentionally spend a life or a dollar more, or less, than it needs to in order to protect its own interests is a fool: Men, who their duties know, But know their rights, and, knowing, dare maintain, Prevent the long-aim'd blow, And crush the tyrant while they rend the chain Audemus jura nostra defendere

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