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How much more preferable, then, to concentrate on "consumption" as the driver of environmental degradation, which keeps the West in the hot seat. In the lead-up to the birth of the world's seven billionth baby last month, green activists on discussion shows were eager to observe that one American generates the carbon emissions of seven Chinese or 169 Bangladeshis. Yet economically, reduced consumption is the last thing poor countries need, with large, young populations desperate for work. Per capita consumption in countries like India and China, too, is on the rise.

Besides, the evil empire itself continues to swell. Having increased by more than 50 per cent during my lifetime, the US population is expected to grow from 311 to 478 million greedy Americans within this century. But how is this possible, with a total fertility rate of 2 per cent — slightly below replacement rate?

More awkwardness! Just as in Britain, American population growth is fuelled by...OH, NO! The I-WORD! Virtually all those additional consumers will be the foreign-born and their descendants. For the Left, immigration is sacrosanct, an unqualified Good Thing.

Best estimates suggest that we will run out of fresh water at about 9.5 billion people, a number the UN now expects the species to exceed — and that is only on the unreal assumption that the water is equally distributed. Desalination has become cheaper, but still demands massive amounts of energy, with the attendant emissions. Right-on folks who stipulate that "if we all live on soy pellets" there will be plenty to go around posit a world that will never happen. There's no getting around the fact that the population of 10.2 billion the UN now forecasts we'll reach this century will eat more, require more energy, and generally rubbish the place more than seven billion do. Population is an environmental issue, and if environmentalists are serious about their purported concerns it's time to muck in with the uncomfortable — that big, messy, politically inconvenient world.

A parting thought: population is also an existential concern. Even if it is theoretically possible to sustain 10.2 billion people, is this what we aspire to as a species — to cram as many of our kind on this planet as it will bear? Do we want to apply our ingenuity primarily to solving how to feed and shelter a population half again as large as today's? Isn't there more to nurture in the human race than sheer multitude? Or do we most want to achieve a purely numerical miracle? Because I hate to break it to you, but in this area the insects have got us beat.

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Crumbs
December 7th, 2011
6:12 PM
Old Karl, you'd do well to start from the world as you find it, and seek solutions to actual problems from there. Imagine I am a Bangladeshi married woman; my husband supports me and any children we may have on an static income sufficient at most to feed five people. How many children can I afford to have? Do the sum. Oh wait, you advise me to emigrate to the UK, thus helping to achieve a de facto redistribution of wealth? But I see a queue has formed - by the time I get to the front (there are millions ahead of me) the UK will have little left to offer me, I fear.

Old Karl
December 2nd, 2011
11:12 PM
"Population is also an existential concern" - no you mean it's a pseudo-existential concernm for those far too flabby to ever worry about the very real "existential concern" of survival. It's always the "other's' fault when it comes to right-wing demagogues, isn't it? You fail to mention the primarily western multinational corporations that have been gnawing away at the Amazon rainforest. You also fail to mention how corporatisation of the fishing industry in the US, has led to severe over-fishing which has a knock on effect around the world (same with Europe, although, having raped our own seas, we are now making deals with African countries to overfish their coasts). You also seem completely ignorant of the fact that it is through the constant demand of western capitalism that our resources are being depleted. But you, blame poor people, Bangladeshis, immigrants and all the usual xenophobic cliches portrayed by neo-Malthusian obscurantists. Western capitalism has been like a cancer, spread to the four corners of the Earth by way of Western empires, spreading war, exploitation (of people as well as the environment and resoruces). Yet you blame 'them', those shadowy, indistinct "others". If you want to qualify what the problem looks like, look in the mirror.

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