However, as a proportion of sentences passed in all courts there has been only a 1% increase in prison sentences over the 10 years 1995-2005. More people, it seems, are going through the courts. Probation officers can no longer exercise their discretion about whether a person should be summoned to court for breaching an order. Unsurprisingly, from 180 people in prison for breaches in January 1995 the number rose to 1,200 in August 2007. Similarly 150 people were in prison for breach of prison licences in January 1995; in August 2007 there were 5,300. Add to this the longer sentences now prescribed by law, giving the judge little discretion, for firearms, "third strike" burglaries and people categorized as "dangerous offenders" and the increase in prison population is predictable.
In January a little publicised Sentencing Commission working group was set up and a consultation paper was produced inviting responses by 2nd June. A summary of responses is expected in September. The Commission advocates the introduction of prescriptive guidelines which courts would be obliged to follow. They suggest that a framework for sentencing should be imposed by the Commission who would work with "a set of planning assumptions" covering 4 or 5 years ahead. The behaviour of judges and magistrates would be monitored to ensure compliance and possibly departures from the guidelines would be publicised. Not only would the guidelines prescribe the range of sentences available but also the factors which could be taken into account as mitigation would be reduced to "fewer and more readily available criteria".


















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