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NC: Let's move to domestic policy. If the Tories win and only get a small majority, if Labour elects an attractive leader, if the Left doesn't go mad, Labour's back in power in 2014. It struck me, reading your accounts of how the financial crisis builds up, that Labour is trying to be two things at once. One reason why it lets the City run riot is because it wants the taxes to fund social democracy. All these things that left-wingers like, tax credits, new schools, new hospitals everywhere, are funded on this paradigm that's now broken down. Do you see any sign of them rethinking that?

AR: Not enough. We may, over time, get our money back as taxpayers when these banks eventually recover. But that's way off. I quote the study by Cresc at Manchester University. They calculated that our exposure to the banks is far in excess of all the tax paid by the entire City in the five years leading up to the crunch, it's much, much more money. We ended up with these disproportionally large banks — RBS alone had assets and liabilities on its balance sheet bigger than the entire economic output of the country that has to underwrite it. There was some fiddling around with regulation and bonuses but nobody — the Tories haven't either — addressed the macro strategic decision facing the country: do we want one sector, namely banking, to be such a large bit of our economy? It's very hard for politicians to turn around and, as a deliberate act of policy, shrink this sector down to a more manageable size. They certainly should have been putting the old firewalls back in, to separate retail and casino. I never believed what they always say in the City, that it is too complicated, that in the modern world you can't do it. These are the people who turned dodgy mortgages into such complicated instruments that none of them could understand them, then they say that you can't legislate to separate casino and retail. That's one thing Tony and Gordon, all that time, never fought over — partly because Tony wasn't economically literate. Money was gushing in so the Prime Minister did not bother asking any awkward questions about where the money was coming from.

NC: It's an extraordinary thing looking back, isn't it? If there was a small shopkeeper listening to this conversation or a teacher burdened with targets or a foxhunter or someone who likes his cigarette and a pint in the pub, you'd think: these people regulate everything, everything except the one thing they ought to regulate.

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