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But technology cannot be stabilised for all time. On the contrary, new payment structures and transmission arrangements are being conceived every few months. Such is the degree of flux at present that no one can give reliable long-term forecasts of the relative importance of different transmission and payment mechanisms. BSkyB, ITV and every other shareholder-owned media organisation in Britain face intense competition not only from other such organisations with a known commitment to a particular technology, but also from new organisations with distinctive and unexpected technologies. Transmission by means of cable has been available for a long time. But the most exciting of the new technologies is internet broadcasting and the most menacing of the new competitors are the telephone companies which own the transmission capability (the copper wires or mobile frequencies). 

Telephone companies have a huge, in-built advantage with internet broadcasting. Precisely because they own the equipment that transmits internet material, including streamed programming, they know the identities of the people and companies who benefit from that equipment. It is a relatively simple matter for them to add TV programming to the telephone package and to charge for the extra services. British Telecom's acquisition of rights to broadcast football matches to its broadband customers is as direct a challenge to BSkyB as could be imagined. Not that BSkyB has been surprised by BT's invasion of its turf, which in this case is a particularly apt word. For some years it has wanted to persuade its TV subscription customers to choose BSkyB for telephone services as well. Both BSkyB and BT are seeking to market not just broadcasting options, but the so-called "triple play" of television (to be received on "TV sets"), broadband (on "computers") and telephony (on "phones"). To adorn such familiar objects as televisions, computers and phones with quotation marks may seem odd, but it has become necessary. As will soon be made clear, the differences between these devices have been blurred by the advance of technology and this blurring has vital implications for the structure of the UK's media market. 

Of course, BT could charge its telephone users a fee for broadcasting material on top of the phone bill. On November 11 BT announced that it had bought the rights to screen 350 top football matches with exactly that intention in mind. The threat to BskyB's business model is so obvious that its share price fell by almost 10 per cent, and its market capitalisation by over £1 billion, within minutes of the announcement. It had not been expected that BT would attack BSkyB so directly and so soon. A big competitive battle is now under way. 

However, a key point must be noticed. The internet now has other quite well-established ways of charging "viewers". All providers of content via the internet, and not just BT or another telephone companies, can restrict access to their material by using widely available software. They can then allow viewing of the material only to people who pay, typically by means of a credit card. The internet therefore becomes the vehicle not so much of broadcasting as of "narrowcasting", understood as the channelling of specialised content to a well-defined and limited market. Technology is advancing so quickly that the "narrowcast" material no longer has to be pre-recorded, but can be live and sent out in real time. So the big broadcasters are not only competing among themselves, they are also competing with a range of internet-based rivals (bloggers selling advertising space, porn channels charging subscriptions, price comparison websites for antiques being financed by auctioneers, and so on). 

In short, "broadcasting" may ultimately cease to exist as a category distinct from "communication" in general. Performances of all sorts are conveyed to customers by an assortment of technologies and financed by a number of payment arrangements. Broadcasting may have begun as the most obvious example of a public good that was also a "natural monopoly", but new technologies changed that monopoly into a duopoly and then an oligopoly, and now they are changing it again into an extreme example of chaotic, undisciplined and vibrant competition. 

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Capt Cluster
January 13th, 2014
3:01 PM
The BBC has become a bleeding heart liberal and the presenters, commentators and comedians have become unwatchable by non ex-pollytech lefties. The sooner this over privileged propaganda machine is sold off the better. Tragic!

majorian
January 10th, 2014
6:01 PM
I'll be brief as I'm not going to convince anyone here. Graphs rarely 'prove' anything. They display data which can be interpreted in different ways. In this article they illustrate the simple point that the BBC used to be the biggest beast and now it's Sky. We all know this, it could have been explained in a short paragraph and it's irrelevant to the argument. There is an increasing misuse of graphs, charts and tables in non-scientific articles precisely to try and convince lazy readers that they are scientific and impartial. Well, it worked on PP. There is a perfectly rational free-market argument for abolishing the BBC. I just don't agree with it. I would have more respect for Mr Congdon if he hadn't hidden behind the fiction of privatisation. I don't believe the BBC is perfect but when Sky is promoting Fox News as news I can live with a bit of soft left bias. Advertising isn't in itself a bad thing but any organisation that accepts it is beholden to the advertisers. I reserve a reaction of horror to more rather more frightenng apparitions PP - grow up. As a Sky subscriber I can tell you that the cost of a full Sky package for one month DOES cost more than the the licence fee. Not possibly but definitely. This is an ideological argument masqerading as an economic one. You believe in privatising everything. I don't. This isn't an argument but a clash of beliefs.

BrentwoddBuff
December 30th, 2013
6:12 PM
We've said this before,30-Dec-2013 but, We think the BBC Licence Fee wastes about £85milion p.a., because the cost of collection is about 3.5% of money collected, whereas 'general taxation', with 3 exceoptions, currently costs less than 1% of money collected. Were UK 'governments' able to trust oneanother, we argue that they could agree a percentage of the UK's GDP to be allocated to the Beeb ( currently for Radio, TV , World Service, and BB roll-out), and restrict broadcasts to only top-quality material for the public good.

Principled Peter
December 3rd, 2013
5:12 PM
"..supplies graphs to demonstrate that this is science and not just the usual Thatcherite claptrap." How awful. Proving stuff. Not sure what is offered in your response by way of a counter to actual evidence in graphic form, beyond not making sense. "No mention of quality or impartiality or trust" McAlpine. Pollard. Rose. PAC. Just this last year. Maybe best they were not mentioned? "No mention that Sky costs its customers as much in a month as the BBC charges for a year" Possibly. But with the BBC it is by compulsion backed by fine or prison. On top of being, well, on top of the 'fee' charged? "AND it takes advertising" The horror. Excuse me while I wait for the next Xmas endless incestuous promo break doing the same job. "No mention of cosy backroom deals between Murdochs minions and Cameron." Yes, well, the lack of interest conflict and degrees of ethical separation between such as Ed Richards of OFCOM and all Lord Hall's hires hiring hires from Purnell to Katz, etc, are nothing in comparison. And yes, I do know Lord Patten is supposed to be a Tory. But it's the deeds that matter. And they are getting darker daily with each BBC-untrustworthy redaction or untransparent obfuscation as they find they can be held to account just as much as they think they could, without any accountability, target others. "You can't privatise the BBC. Once it moves out of public ownership it becomes just another media company." Too what to fail then? Hardly the best excuse for a £4B questionably accurate or ethical or impartial propaganda machine on the public tab.

Patrick Heren
November 29th, 2013
12:11 PM
I agree with Majorian that Mr Congdon's article is over-long, but Congdon's analysis is spot on. Not only is the BBC as currently constituted several decades out of date, but its pervasive soft-left influence on British life hinders real debate and reduces this country's ability to deal with the real world. Privatising the BBC, as I argued in Standpoint some years ago, would be a tremendous one-off bonus for the Exchequer, as well as opening up real debate and discussion in our country's politics.

majorian
November 27th, 2013
8:11 PM
An unnecessarily long article with a ton of extraneous detail presumably included to convince us that Mr Condon is a broadcasting expert and not just another fifth rate economist in denial since 2008. He supplies graphs to demonstrate that this is science and not just the usual Thatcherite claptrap. His argument can be summarised as 1 Sky now generates more revenue than the BBC 2 Times change - people have mobile phones and stuff 3 No-one knows what the future will bring but it will probably be different No mention of quality or impartiality or trust. No mention that Sky costs its customers as much in a month as the BBC charges for a year AND it takes advertising. No mention of cosy backroom deals between Murdochs minions and Cameron. You can't privatise the BBC. Once it moves out of public ownership it becomes just another media company. Privatisation is abolition by the backdoor as Mr Condon knows very well but, for some obscure reason, won't say. I suspect he doesn't watch much television. Most people pontificating about TV don't, and don't care about it. For Mr Condon it's just another privatisation to make more money for him and his rich chums. And screw the people who actually use it. But that's the story of the last thirty years.

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