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The parallels with Spain are clear. The virulent hatred of Tehran's rulers against the Jewish state is being played down. Witness how Rouhani's elusive answers about Holocaust denial were greeted with enthusiasm by a swooning media all too eager to put the Ahmadinejad years behind them. It is as if everything else that Iran does could somehow be made acceptable by a sudden reduction of its anti-Semitic rhetoric. 

Yet it is hard for Netanyahu to get his facts past his audiences — nobody among Western pundits and policymakers has much sympathy for him. They find him distasteful on account of his country's existence, or its policies, or its refusal to make concessions that could jeopardise its security. 

The New York Times called him "shrill". His denunciations of Iran elicited yawns. His demand for zero-enrichment — which, by the way, is nothing more than what six Chapter VII UN Security Council resolutions demand of Iran's regime — is being dismissed across the board as "unrealistic".

Netanyahu is a party pooper. And his warnings will not be heeded. Negotiations, which recommenced in Geneva on October 15, will probably be the prelude to broader Iranian-American engagement addressing other regional problems, where Iran's "legitimate demands" will be taken into account. While Iran will be invited to the table for negotiations on Syria, Afghanistan, the Gulf, WMDs and regional security, Israel will be kept at bay, with America's reassurance that the Jewish state's interests will never be compromised as the only guarantee Israel can rely on.

If Netanyahu knows about one thing, it is history. He is keenly aware that, despite all the shortcomings of historical analogies, a fate similar to the one of Czechoslovakia in 1938 is a distinct possibility. America, after all, promised it would never tolerate Assad's use of chemical weapons — and failed to live up to its promise. America intimated that Assad had to go — but America walked away from its warnings when Assad hunkered down and rode out the storm. Why would America's guarantees to Israel be anything more than "covenants without a sword", which, in Thomas Hobbes's immortal phrase, "are nothing but words, and of no strength to secure a man at all"?

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Yossarian's Child
November 4th, 2013
2:11 PM
Stimulating article. I would, however, suggest that the parallel with the Spanish Civil War we should adopt is that of Stalin. Both sides are supported by our adversaries. Let us provide just enough weapons to ensure one side take years to win and ideally let them fight on in perpetuity. For the West the prospect of Iran and Saudi fighting an endless proxy war in Syria is the best result.

stefano sodano
November 2nd, 2013
12:11 PM
Mr Ottolenghi is bloody right. Amen

Robert Hunt
November 1st, 2013
9:11 PM
Dear Mr. Ottolenghi, You like many who supported the Communist takeover of Spain and Portugal seem to have conveiniently forgotten their history. When Roosevelt and the rest of his crowd took over in the U.S. the Soviets were carrying out the largest genocide of the century, until their acolytes in china took power, aided by the same Roosevelt clan. Roosevelt's first action in foreign policy was to recognize the Communists in Russia while they were butchering 9 to 11 million Catholics in the Ukraine. Of course, killing Catholics is for the good of the world, which is why the Communist slaughters are never mentioned in the press. Since you and I know the Communist reporters, of the Western press gathered with their KGB masters and agreed to cover up the greatest crime till the Chinese slaughter in 59-61. Everyone likes to forget Christ has been the major enemy of the socialists for two hundred years, and his followers have suffered under every socialist regime. General Franco, smelling the hatred which would bring genocide to Spain and Portugal, rose to defend Christ against the Communists. Even now, after we have witnessed the Communists, in China, Ethiopia, Vietnam, and Cambodia, still their intentions in Spain are taken as pristine. This can only be done by a true believer. General Franco saved Spain from a genocide worse than the Ukraine, because the strength of belief in Spain would have meant killing half the population, not a third. When will the Communists when they write about the twentieth century admit, their own crimes? Sincerely, Bob

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