Without a hostile Pakistan on its borders, India would also have been far better able to check Communist China's ambitions. The Raj had seen an independent Tibet as a necessary buffer against Chinese expansionism. "Rather than see a Chinese occupation of Tibet," a British general had warned in 1946, "India should be prepared to occupy the plateau herself." In 1959, a serious Indian ultimatum would probably have prevented China from occupying Tibet and ending its autonomy under the Dalai Lama. If so, India would also have been spared military defeat in the disastrous 1962 Sino-Indian War, for which the Nehru government was so ill-prepared.
A decentralised, federal union of sovereign provinces would not necessarily have been any less efficient or productive than today's India, where the central government for the past decade has been a weak, fragmented coalition dominated by strong regional parties. Over time, the Hindu-Muslim religious divide would have faded into the myriad ethnic, regional and linguistic identities that make up the Indian mosaic. The union would also have been cemented by rapid economic growth, as India's dynamic private sector, unshackled by Nehru's state socialism, outstripped the mini-tiger economies of the Far East. A united subcontinent could have entered the 21st century as the world's second largest economy, well ahead of China.
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