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Not in America, however. Deborah Borda, who signed Dudamel at 26 as music director at the Los Angeles Philharmonic, told me last summer that she expected two of the Big Five to go under. Too stuck in their ways, was her view. Her Dude has Hispanic street cred and the music he plays often swings. Hollywood is sitting up and taking interest.

Other US orchestras are wrestling with long legacies of stasis. In the 1970s American orchestras lost the thirty-somethings to rampant rock, an art that refused to grow old. Audiences who would once have gravitated in midlife from the Stones to the symphony stuck with the Jagger tours. The symphony lost its Middle America hinterland.

Heavily dependent on local donors, themselves of advancing age, orchestras carried on playing Brahms, Schumann and Dvorak, music of a distant past, accentuating their geriatric profile. Musicians, fearful for their jobs, adopted a hard-hat unionism that won them $100,000 starting pay for a 20-hour week in the Big Five, unaffordable when the market crashed. Attitudes have since hardened into confrontation. Only in American orchestras do I hear well-meaning executives referred to as "management", the natural enemy.

Remedies are rare and largely unproven. Gary Hanson of Cleveland, feeling the recession in a depressed, rustbelt city, switched his orchestra part-time to Miami. Zarin Mehta of New York installed a music director Alan Gilbert who, while light on prior achievement, is putting Messiaen into Manhattan ears and bringing a Finn, Magnus Lindberg, as composer in residence. Chicago SO president Deborah Rutter lured the glamorous Riccardo Muti back into American contention. Boston's Mark Volpe is reeling from the sudden loss of James Levine while Philadelphia has hired the bright French-Canadian Yannick Nézét-Séguin as its next music director, should it succeed in emerging from the bankruptcy courts.

Seeds of orchestral revival are found only in the Far East, where the Japanese audience has not wavered amid economic and natural disasters, China is creating six new orchestras a year and the Seoul Philharmonic in South Korea has become the first non-European, non-US orchestra to win a major label record contract, with Deutsche Grammophon. Classical sales in Korea are the highest in the world, amounting to 18 per cent of the total record market, against less than 2 per cent in the US. These are encouraging signs, apparently a significant shift in the centre of orchestral activity. But at close hand, it becomes clear that the impetus in Asia is often attributable to local causes — inter-city rivalry in China's command economy, self-education drives in Korea. The question of who needs the symphony orchestra in the 21st century is not going to be resolved by isolated national phenomena.

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TomW
June 30th, 2011
6:06 PM
Nice Norman - you write exactly what the 4% of the population who regularly attend symphonic concerts want to read. Back in the between the 1780s to the late 1800s, orchestras were ventures funded by subscribers and rich patrons. As a result, there weren't very many of them compared to today. What's happening today is that we're returning to that old model. Government is getting out of the culture business (wisely, for government shouldn't prop up all kinds of bad contemporary composers, painters, writers, etc. as they do in Europe). Sure the orchestra will survive, but there will be about 60% fewer - at least - of them then there are today. That's fine, since excellently recorded CD's and good stereo sets will make up the slack. Besides, the future of art music isn't "orchestras" but in specialized ensembles, such as L'Arpeggiata, Orchestre Revolutionaire et Romantique, and the Red Fish cafe. The idea that every city above 100,000 people should have an orchestra or opera company is going the way of the dodo.

Charles
June 30th, 2011
7:06 AM
Living in a somewhat distant northern suburb of New York City, I find a rich local diet of chamber music along with imaginative choral programs sung by amateurs led by accomplished professionals and supported by churches. Smaller scale classical music will never go out of fashion and doesn't need large endowments. A lot of it is supplied by musicians who can't find orchestral chair jobs in the cities. Bach did fine in an environment like this with its smaller scale forces. What was OK for him is OK for us...not to worry.

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