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An Islamist Winter?
January/February 2012


But should we conclude that, as some Islamologists (notably the Frenchman Olivier Roy) suggest, "political Islam" is already dead? Roy bases his argument on the fact that, outside Iran where Islamists are in power, no Islamist party or group dares enter any free elections with an openly Islamist programme.


However, announcing the death of Islamism may also be premature. Decades of surviving under repressive regimes have taught the Arab Islamists the art of kitman or dissimulation. They know how to hide their true colours and bide their time. If it is foolish to overestimate their strength when they are part of a broader picture, it is deadly to underestimate their capacity for doing harm when they seize all levers of power.


In Iran, too, once the Shah had fallen, Ayatollah Khomeini went to Qom ostensibly to resume teaching theology. The future Prime Minister was a French-educated engineer and author of a book on thermodynamics. His government was backed by a coalition of secular parties and groups. Iran boasted a rich spectrum of political parties, from ultra-liberal to Trotskyite, taking in conservative, Communist and social democrat. The post-Shah regime was supposed to be dedicated to eliminating corruption, speeding up economic development and giving the masses a better deal.


All the time, however, the mullahs and their minions were infiltrating the apparatus of the state, placing their people in strategic positions within the bureaucracy, the judiciary and the media, and creating paramilitary squads. They accepted elections on the basis of one man, one vote, once. After the first free elections in January 1980 there were no more elections in any real sense of the term.


Something tremendous has happened in the Arab Spring countries, something that merits being supported and protected. For the first time, almost everyone agrees that political power should come from the people with free pluralist elections as the method of ascertaining the popular will. Claims that power has divine origin and/or dynastic roots have been abandoned. What matters now is to make sure that the elections we have just witnessed in several Arab states do not turn out to be the last of their kind.

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A reader from NY
January 2nd, 2012
12:01 PM
While I agree with the premise and conclusion of this piece, I am as bewildered as the previous reader ("Orientalism") by Mr. Taheri's depiction of the Turkish government as a "model" of secular Islamic democracy. As Turkey's Islamist PM Erdogan vies for accession to the EU, on the one hand, and to fill the regional power vacuum left by Mubarak's ouster and the Arab Spring, on the other, one must look to events of the last 18 months and wonder how independent a truly secular government in an Islamist society can be, particularly when that society derives its intellectual, moral and spiritual guidance from its religious scholars and theologians - NOT its politicians. Moreover, to offer Turkey's NOMINAL separation of state and religion as a beacon to the Arab world is as naive as the presumption that the Islamic Brotherhood's newfangled secular campaign platform is to be taken at face value. I've often thought the Occupy Wall Street activists would do well to look East for a better appreciation of their "99 vs. 1" mantra; but, if this movement has anything in common with the Arab Spring, it's that both were fomented by passions rather than a plan. One can rail against social injustice, economic hardship and political corruption, but there is a world of difference between identifying a problem and knowing how to fix it. Absent a solution and the means to implement it, there can be no remedy - or revolution.

Orientalism
January 1st, 2012
7:01 AM
Informative and well summed up. However, some may argue that we are seeing the following now in Turkey as the military security regime that protected secularism is being dismantled.... the description of Iran post 1979 revolution resonates with many Turks these days... you could replace mullahs for the ruling AKP party. 'the mullahs and their minions were infiltrating the apparatus of the state, placing their people in strategic positions within the bureaucracy, the judiciary and the media, and creating paramilitary squads. They accepted elections on the basis of one man, one vote, once' And this also applies to Turkey when talking about military repression of Islamist parties.. 'They know how to hide their true colours and bide their time. If it is foolish to overestimate their strength when they are part of a broader picture, it is deadly to underestimate their capacity for doing harm when they seize all levers of power.' Some may say, if the popular vote wants a more pro-Islamic run country so be it, but as the writer also mentions 'obsessions such as the Israel-Palestine issue, anti-Americanism, vilification of minorities and anti-woman programmes' are old Islamists discourse and are anti-democratic, in my opinion. Today,we are seeing a visible backwards trend in Turkey on these issues. Turkey noteably has the highest number of journalists in prison. Most live in fear of reprisal for having a critical voice. Wire-tapping by the pro-government police force is common. Turkey as a model?

Sarat Kumar
December 26th, 2011
8:12 PM
It is not really important whether the Islamists allow tourists to drink alcohol or even whether muslim women would be veiled, scarved or not. Will they: Amend constitutions to allow non muslims to occupy the highest political, military and social offices in Arab and Muslim countries? Allow all religions and atheists to preach and propagate their beliefs peacefully? Adopt constitutions without references to Islam? As someone who has lived in the Middle East for 14 years, let me tell you, Mr Taheri (I know you dont need my telling) the Arabs in particular and Muslims in general are light years away from these concepts.

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